UNIVERSE SOFTPLAN
Risk classification: how to gain relevance and trust in the financial market
From the earliest recorded history to modern financial markets, the ability to deal with uncertainty has always played a crucial role in the advancement of societies. In the book "Defying the Gods: The Remarkable History of Risk", Peter L. Bernstein explores how understanding and managing risk has been fundamental to shaping economic and social progress. For him, "Risk is the essence of life, but we need to shape it, control it and adapt to it to transform uncertainties into opportunities." This reflection highlights Bernstein’s view that risk management is central to economic and social progress, especially in financial markets, where data-driven decisions are crucial to building relevance and trust. Just as measuring risk is essential, so is having reliable, data-driven tools to measure risk. In this context, credit rating agencies play an important role in the financial market, providing analysis and assessments that help in making well-guided decisions. For companies seeking to ensure their relevance and gain market trust, understanding the challenges and strategies behind a positive risk rating is essential. Concept and main agencies Credit rating agencies emerged in the early 20th century in the United States, during the expansion of the financial market and industrialization. In this context, investors faced difficulties in assessing the security of debt securities and the financial health of companies and governments. In 1909, John Moody founded the first agency, Moody's, offering ratings to advise investors on credit risk. The model was quickly adopted, especially after the 1929 crisis, when transparency and trust became even more essential in the global financial market. Credit risk rating assesses an entity's ability to honor its financial obligations and maintain financial balance, and is based on data such as cash flow, management and strategic planning. On a global scale, the main risk rating agencies are three: Moody's, Fitch and S&P. To generate their assessment reports, they assess in detail the company's financial history, management and strategic planning, in addition to making comparisons with competitors in the sector and analyzing the company's reputation. The process involves a thorough analysis of the financial statements, debt characteristics and past performance, ultimately assigning a rating that classifies the credit risk involved in the investment. Understanding the rating Credit rating agencies evaluate both companies and countries, with notable examples such as the assessment of Apple, which has a high rating due to its strong liquidity and revenue, and the rating of countries such as the United States, which traditionally receives high ratings, reflecting its economic robustness. In the case of Brazil, the country lost its investment grade in 2015, when the main rating agencies downgraded its rating to speculative grade due to the economic crisis, political instability and rising public debt. The positive outlook has recently returned. In October 2024, Moody's upgraded Brazil's rating from Ba2 to Ba1, bringing the country one step closer to regaining investment grade status again. In a note, the agency highlighted, among other things, that the country has had more robust growth than previously predicted. However, uncertainties related to Brazil's fiscal health, which gained greater relevance at the end of 2024, should make this possible upgrade difficult. Risk agencies consider revenue growth, diversification of sources, and margins such as EBITDA and net income, which reflect efficiency and financial health. Companies with revenues concentrated in a few clients or in a single region are more exposed to negative impacts, such as the loss of a large client or local crises - which directly affect their financial performance. Another determining factor is the profit margin, especially EBITDA, which reflects operational efficiency. The agencies seek to understand whether the company is managing to increase its margins over time, which indicates effective cost control and sustainable growth. In addition, net profit, which considers, in addition to EBITDA, interest, depreciation, amortization and taxes, is also carefully analyzed. Companies with higher margins and consistent growth are seen as less risky, as they indicate a greater ability to generate cash and profits from their operations. The characteristics of a company's debt are also relevant to risk classification, such as the level of debt, the terms of the debts, the contractual clauses and the credit risks associated with these financial obligations. The type of debt and its structure directly impact a company’s ability to honor its financial commitments. A company that has well-structured debts, with favorable terms and conditions, will be classified as having a lower risk, as it is in a more comfortable position to manage its obligations in the future. Specific risks The technology sector faces specific peculiarities when it comes to risk assessment, and two of them are particularly relevant for rating agencies. The first is product obsolescence. Due to the highly innovative nature of the industry, technology companies are constantly at risk of their products quickly becoming outdated. Softplan, the company is more protected, since its products are aimed at the B2B market, in addition to its operations featuring market-leading products that are a reference, and having a high reputational value, with a healthy and self-sustainable operation for over 30 years. Even so, rating agencies closely monitor how much the company invests in research, development and product innovation, as this demonstrates its ability to adapt to technological changes and remain competitive. The second peculiarity refers to cash generation. The agencies observe the balance between the company's growth and its ability to generate cash flow. This is because many technology companies prioritize accelerated growth, even if this involves a long period of heavy investments with no immediate return. This strategy can lead to a period of "cash burn", where the company may take many years to start generating cash in a significant way. The Group Softplan has stood out for maintaining a healthy EBITDA margin and a solid financial strategy, generating cash since the beginning of its operations, which has a positive impact on its risk rating. Group Achievement Softplan and some strategies In October 2024, the Group Softplan received an 'A-.br' rating from Moody's, reflecting its financial strength and sustainable growth strategies. In its assessment, Moody's highlighted the Group's ability Softplan to expand, especially through mergers and acquisitions (M&As), in addition to identifying the diversification of operations in the Construction Industry, Legal Intelligence, Public Sector and Operational Efficiency verticals. Moody's classification leads us to observe some practices and strategies that have demonstrated good results. One of the main ones is budgetary discipline. The Group Softplan has stood out for its ability to plan and meet its budgets, something that is often underestimated in technology companies. Demonstrating this commitment to financial control and precise execution of strategies helps to consolidate the trust of the market and rating agencies. This budgetary discipline, aligned with constant and sustainable growth, is seen as a positive indicator by the agencies. Another relevant aspect is corporate governance. The Group Softplan strengthened its structure with the inclusion of two independent board members, a significant step that contributes to the transparency and quality of strategic decisions. The presence of independent board members, who value the company's reputation and good management, is another aspect highly valued by risk rating agencies. In addition, the composition of the board demonstrates diversification and commitment to representing different perspectives, a factor considered a positive point in the analysis process. Finally, the Group Softplan has demonstrated a healthy balance between growth and cash generation, an extremely relevant practice in a scenario where many companies, when seeking expansion, end up compromising profitability. Maintaining strict control over finances, focusing on initiatives that bring both growth and profitability, is an effective strategy for gaining the trust of investors and, consequently, achieving a good risk rating. This balance between solid growth and cash generation is the basis of the financial stability and the perception of security that the Group Softplan offers its investors. One rating, many impacts Moody's risk rating results in several positive effects for the Group Softplan, especially with regard to market knowledge about the company and its cost of capital. As a non-listed company, the Group Softplan, until then, was not subject to a significant volume of external analysis, as is the case with publicly traded companies. The risk rating, therefore, improves the company's visibility in the financial market, offering a clearer view of its growth potential, its strategies and the credit risks associated with its business. This transparency process, in which important information such as financial results and future projections are exposed, is essential for investors to better understand the business and feel more secure when making investment decisions. An immediate impact of this improvement in visibility is the reduction of the cost of capital. A good rating can reduce the interest rate charged by the company's creditors, as is the case with debenture issuances. This occurs because investors, when realizing that the Group Softplan is a company with low credit risk, they demand a lower remuneration, as they understand that the company is growing, diversifying its operations and consolidating its leadership in the markets where it operates. The reduction in the costs of raising funds can be an important differentiator for the company's expansion and its continuity in the competitive market. In addition, the risk classification also paves the way for the evolution of governance and transparency within the company. By opening its financial and strategic information to the market, the Group Softplan demonstrates a commitment to best governance practices, which is an important step towards becoming a publicly traded company in the future. This "opening" process provides greater security for investors, as they have a clearer view of the financial situation and risks of the business. For those who intend to invest or even acquire shares in the future, having access to this information serves as a reference for more informed decision-making. Finally, the risk rating also directly impacts customers and suppliers, since the seal of an agency such as Moody's reinforces the image of solidity and credibility. Companies seeking to do business in the long term prefer to associate themselves with stable, reputable and financially secure partners, which can facilitate the conquest of new contracts. In addition, a good rating also facilitates acquisitions, as it offers greater confidence to company sellers, guaranteeing payment for transactions. These factors, together, create a positive cycle that drives the growth and consolidation of the Group. Softplan in the market. Rating increasingly relevant Looking at the future of risk rating, it seems plausible to imagine that, as the financial market evolves and the number of investors expands, it will become increasingly relevant, especially in the technology sector. With the increase in the participation of less specialized investors, these reports offer a solid basis for understanding the risks and potential of a company. Since technology is one of the most promising and dynamic sectors, the detailed analysis provided by rating agencies will be essential for investors, both new and experienced, to be able to make more informed decisions. This movement reinforces the importance of rating as a tool to increase transparency and knowledge in the market. In Brazil, although many technology companies still do not publish information as detailed as that listed on the stock exchange, the trend is that the level of transparency and market analysis will continue to advance. The Brazilian technology sector is going through a process of maturation, which will make it more attractive and accessible to investors, as companies evolve and their governance practices align with the best in the world. This maturity also creates opportunities for more in-depth analyses, similar to what already occurs in more mature markets, such as the United States, where the number of large listed companies allows for greater specialization in credit risk analyses. Beyond the numbers Finally, returning to the example of the Group Softplan, we can say that it reinforces the idea that achieving a good risk rating is, above all, a natural consequence of consistent financial and governance practices. Companies that seek relevance and trust in the market, therefore, must look beyond the numbers and invest in strategic, responsible management that is committed to the future. In the case of the Grupo Softplan, the "A-.br" rating by Moody's is a recognition of these strategies, such as good governance practices, budgetary discipline and commitment to sustainable growth. Therefore, more than a seal of prestige, the risk rating is a reflection of a company's organizational maturity. By opening its information for careful analysis, it demonstrates its solidity and willingness to adopt the best market practices. This process creates a virtuous cycle, in which the company attracts investors and reduces financial costs, in addition to strengthening its reputation and positioning itself as a reliable partner for long-term business.